Just months after prosecutors alleged a Google security engineer turned confidential search data into a $1.2 million prediction-market side hustle, venture-backed startup Tickr announced Tuesday that it is bringing the same spirit of diseased opportunism to death itself with a new platform for trading “obituary futures” on celebrities, politicians, and other medically interesting public figures. The app, which looks like Robinhood if Robinhood had spent a weekend huffing formaldehyde, allows users to buy Yes or No contracts on whether a public figure will die within a given window, then track their positions on a sleek dashboard featuring implied probability, social chatter, and a bright red tab labeled “Catalysts.”
Tickr founder and CEO Payne Doppan, a former product lead at two gambling startups and one meditation app and VP at Meta, said the company is merely “unlocking price discovery for mortality,” adding that death has remained “a tragically inefficient information market for too long.” Users can browse themed watchlists including “Legacy Act in Danger,” “Election-Year Natural Causes,” and “Pope Quarterly,” then refine trades with premium data layers such as hospital paparazzi sightings, skipped public appearances, legal-department-drafted family statements, and what the company calls “face color momentum.” A leaked investor memo describes the product as “Bloomberg Terminal for human expiration,” noting that user retention spikes dramatically whenever a beloved actor cancels tour dates or a senator is photographed near a staircase. The memo also outlines an expansion roadmap for untapped betting markets such as first menstration and addiction relapses.
Tickr said it has raised $48 million in seed funding from a syndicate of crypto funds, sports-betting alumni, and at least one person who’s father lives at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. “People say this is ghoulish,” said one backer on condition of anonymity because he is still trying to sit on hospital boards. “But so was shorting the housing market, and that guy got a movie.” The startup says it has already signed partnership deals with newsletter writers, podcasters, and several AI firms that will generate “scenario-adjusted mortality forecasts” by scraping interviews for coughing fits and measuring how often a celebrity’s team uses the phrase “tired but in good spirits.”